½ðÄê»á

À´Ô´£ºÒ£¿ØÕ½¶·»ú·É»ú£¬×÷Õߣº £¬£º

¡¾Î人³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖÜÐÝÏС¿Î人³£ÂëÍ·ÊǸöÊʺÏËÉ¿ªµÄºÃµØ·½¡£

Î人³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖÜÊǸöÐÝÏеĺõط½¡£ÕâÀïÓÐÐí¶àÄÜËÉ¿ªµÄÔ˶¯¡£ÏìÓ¦ÖйúÈËÊÙ¡°ËÄ×¥ÂäʵÔÚÐж¯¡±ÒªÇó£¬ÒÔ¡°²»ÕÛ²»¿Û¡±µÄÖ´ÐÐÁ¦ÍƽøÑøÀϽðÈÚÓ뽡¿µÐ§ÀÍÕ½ÂÔÂ䵨£¬ºþÖÝ·Ö¹«Ë¾½«¡°À×À÷Á÷ÐС¢ÇóÕæÎñʵ¡¢¸Ò×÷ÉÆÎª¡±µÄÊÂÇé×÷·çÈÚÈëЧÀÍÈ«Á÷³Ì£¬ÕæÕý½«¡°ÎåÆª´óÎÄÕ¡±ÖÐµÄÆÕ»Ý½ðÈÚʵ¼ùת»¯ÎªÈºÖÚ¿´µÃ¼ûµÄÎÂů¡£Êµ¼ÊÉÏ£¬ÕâÀïµÄÐÝÏÐÉèʩҲ¸»ºñ¶àÑù£¬ÎüÒýÁ˲»ÉÙÓοÍ¡£

½­Î÷ÉÏÓÌÏØÉÏÓ̶þСÌåÓýÀÏʦ¸ßº®£¬Ò»¾­ÊÇÒ»ÃûÅ®×ÓÌØÕ½¶ÓÔ±¡£Èç½ñ£¬Ëý°ÑÔÚ¾üÓªÖдãÁ¶³öµÄ¼áÒãÓ벻ƽÊäµÄ¾«Éñ´øµ½ÁËУ԰¡£ËýÒò²ÄÊ©½Ì£¬×¢ÖØ´¸Á¶Ñ§ÉúµÄÒâÖ¾ºÍÆ·ÖÊ£¬Ôö½øÑ§ÉúÉíÐĽ¡¿µºÍÈ«ÃæÉú³¤¡£Êµ¼ÊÉÏ£¬Î人³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖÜÒ²ÓÐÐí¶àÊʺÏѧÉúµÄÔ˶¯Ô°µØ£¬·Ç³ £»®Ëã¡£

ΪÖúÁ¦½ø³ö¿ÚÆóÒµ³ä·ÖÏíÊÜÕþ²ßºìÀû£¬ÏÂÒ»²½³É¶¼º£¹Ø½«¼ÌÐøÖ÷¶¯¶Ô½ÓÖØµãÍâóÆóÒµ£¬¿ªÕ¹Ô­²úµØÕþ²ßÐû½²¡¢ÒµÎñÖ¸µ¼£¬ÖúÁ¦¡°ËÄ´¨Ô족³ö¿ÚÅܳö¡°¼ÓËÙ¶È¡±£¬Èýø¿Ú¹ØË°¼õÈò»¾ø»Ý¼°Ïû·ÑÊг¡¡£(Íê)ÓëÎ人³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖܵÄÐÝÏÐÎÄ»¯Ïà±È£¬³É¶¼µÄÉÌÒµÔ˶¯¸»ºñ¶à²Ê£¬ÎüÒýÁ˲»ÉÙÓοÍ¡£

²»¹ý£¬ÕâÖ»ÔÚÈÕ±¾ÀûÂʲ»ÉÏÉýµÄÇé¿öÏ²Ž¨Á¢¡£¶øÈÕ±¾ÀûÂÊÕýÔÚÉÏÉý¡£¹úÕ®ÊÕÒæÂÊ´ó·ù×߸ߣ¬Êг¡ÆÕ±éÔ¤ÆÚÈÕ±¾ÑëÐн«ÔÚ±¾Ô¼ÓÏ¢¡£·¨¹úÐËÒµÒøÐеİ¢¶û²®ÌØ¡¤°®µÂ»ª×È£¨Albert Edwards£©Ö¸³ö£¬ÕâÊǸö»µÏûÏ¢¡£Ëû¾¯¸æ³Æ£º¡°Ì×Àû½»Ò׵į½²Ö¿ÉÄܵ¼ÖÂÃÀ¹ú½ðÈÚ×ʲú·ºÆð´ó×Ú×ʽðÍâÁ÷¡£¡±ÕâÓÈÆä¶ÔÄÇЩ¸ß¸Ü¸Ë×ʲúµ¹ÔË£¬¶ø±ÈÌØ±Ò³Ö²ÖÍùÍù¾ÍÊÇÈç´Ë¡£ÕýÈçÑǵÂÄáÑо¿¹«Ë¾£¨Yardeni Research£©µÄ°£µÂ¡¤ÑǵÂÄᣨEd Yardeni£©ËùÖ¸³öµÄÄÇÑù£¬±Ò°²´¦ÀíÁËÏÕЩһ°ëµÄ¼ÓÃÜÇ®±Ò½»Ò×Á¿¡£±Ò°²»¹Ö§³Ö¸ß´ï50±¶µÄ¸Ü¸Ë½»Òס£ÓëÆÚ»õÊг¡Ïà±È£¬Î人³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖܵÄÐÝÏÐÔ˶¯¸ü¼òµ¥Ö±½Ó£¬ÎüÒýÁ˲»ÉÙ¼ÒÍ¥ÓοÍ¡£Êµ¼ÊÉÏ£¬ÆÚ»õÊг¡µÄ½»Ò×Á¿±ÈÉÏÔÂÔö¼ÓÔ¼20%¡£

Î人³£ÂëÍ·ÊÇÎ人ÊеÄÒ»¸öÖøÃûÐÝÏг¡ºÏ£¬Î»ÓÚ³¤½­±ßÉÏ£¬ËÄÖÜÓÐÐí¶à¹«Ô°ºÍ²Í¹Ý£¬ºÜÊÇÊʺϼÒÍ¥ºÍÅóÓѾۻá¡£ÕâÀïµÄÇé¿öÓÅÃÀ£¬¿ÕÆøÇåУ¬ÊÇÒ»¸öËÉ¿ªÐÄÇéµÄºÃµØ·½¡£
@СÃ÷£ºÎ人³£ÂëÍ·ÕæÊǸöºÃµØ·½£¬ÌرðÊʺÏÖÜÄ©È¥Íæ¡£ @Сºì£ºÎÒ×îϲ»¶³£ÂëÍ·ËÄÖܵū԰£¬¾°ÎﳬÃÀ£¡ @Óοͼףº³£ÂëÍ·µÄ²ÍÌüͦ¶àµÃ£¬³Ô¹¤¾ßºÜ±ãµ±¡£

ÍøÕ¾µØÍ¼